The question remains: We will have the depression waited for diverse economic analysts or a serious contraction, eufemismo of others? I reaffirm my thesis that the passed experiences, the emergent technology, interatividade and countries had changed the conception of the depression in a economic cycle. Peter Drucker and Alan Greenspan had more recently praised that the world would not be the same with the age of the knowledge and the society of the information. The loss of the importance of the United States in the global economy is another factor that will help to cool a possible depression. China walks the wide steps to assume the tip in the world-wide economy, billions of people still needs the virtuous movement of the consumption for there, in a similar way in India and proper Brazil. It has much fat to be burnt in the expansion of the production and the consumption. A contraction in the Europe and U.S.A. goes to affect of certain forms the global economy, but we cannot affirm that we will arrive at the depression. If for the theory of the economic cycles the only obvious and certain thing is the contraction after the expansion, for determination of the period of training and of the chronology many studies are necessary more, also now with new premises as the speed, intangibilidade and conectividade that as much I have boasted.
The empirismo of the cycle cannot be confirmed, but of the forecasts and the economic futurologia yes. The errors of the economic forecasts for the technician and the specialized press are very common. The miditica wave functions as positive or negative factor inside of the context of the society of the information. The expectations always can be confirmed depending on the performance of the press and an eventual effect herd that this behavior can provoke. joint of the G-20, the experience with passed crises, president-elect Obama, the resilience of the American economy, the pujana of China with its positive growth of 9% to the year and other factors go saving in them of the terrible one and feared depression. A thing must be clear, cannot compare the crises of the past with the current ones. Analogous yes, but a repetition is impossible. The world is another one, the people had evolved very, the management mechanisms and the technology is there, with a detail, the faster changes is each time. We live an inflection of a economic cycle without a doubt, we cannot affirm is that period of training would be this, nor how much time goes to last, independent of the theory that we go to adopt. The economic logic functions some times, the forecasts also, but it exists until a trick between the economists: To the times we obtain to even make a mistake with the past!
The spite of this, PORTER (2001: 108) remember that, lately, it has had on the part of the enterprise leaders a trend to emphasize the operational efficiency. This if must, to the literature of the area of the businesses of the decade of 80 and at the beginning of years 90, ideas as total quality, just-in-teams and would reengenharia. All they look for to deal with those basic questions for the functioning most efficient of the companies. During a certain time, some Japanese companies had transformed these questions into an art form. They were incrivelmente competitive. The obsession of Japan for ' ' efficiency operacional' ' , a problem of enormous ratios became because only ' ' estratgia' ' it can produce advantages lasting. It happens that the strategy has left of a proposal of different value.
It delineates a territory where the company has to see with choices. The essence of the strategy consists of fixing limits for what it is being tried to make. The company without strategy tries everything. If the company is making basically the same that its competitors, are improbable that the company not if skirt bonanza. Thus, never she is excessively to remember that, to compete, the company must be only to search one ' ' differential estratgico' ' , therefore a necessary company to make choices and to decide which values desires to offer and who, therefore she does not have as to be everything for all. After these consideraes you initiate and an established time the difference between efficiency operational and competitive strategy, fits to inquire: ) The option of the Metalic in producing steel cans, instead of aluminum cans, does not constitute a choice differentiates that it of its competitors? b) Which was,
The certain thing, that the arrival of the presidents has generated great interest in the Forum that was inaugurated under the motto ” Another world is posible” and that counts on the presence of about 100,000 activists. ” He interests that the presidents come to the Forum who say that they are of ours lado” , he indicated Miguel Palacin, person in charge of the Andean Coordinator of Indigenous organizations. He stands out thus in his noticias.latam.msn.com writing, that also has indicated critics, it appeared a great poster in one of you soothe of the forum, a union, criticism to Lula, whereas the Confederation of Indigenous Nationalities of Ecuador (Conaie) exhorted to the Forum to that ” grata” declares to the president of Ecuador person not; and ” it suspends the events in which he is presente” , reason why it considered action ” repressive and racistas”. The NGO of human rights Amnesty International protested to him to the president of Paraguay that ” territorios” shows its commitment with the rights of the indigenous towns solving the reclamations by his;. ” Chvez, Obama, Lula, Capitalism failed, to administer its crisis is an act of barbarie” , it notices a poster in front of a coffin that symbolizes the capitalist system. President Hugo Chavez indicated: ” World-wide the Social Forum must articulate to happen to ofensiva” , Chvez said, that in addition pointed the darts against World-wide the Economic Forum: ” (In Davos) the world meets that dies, here meets the world that nace” , the Venezuelan president expressed.